Prediction Offered Regarding Trade War During The Trump Administration

Since Donald Trump became President Elect, many stock traders and investors have started to study what a Trump Administration will mean for the stock market and the economy. The GuerillaStockTrading.com website has responded by making their own prediction on the effects of the presidency of Donald Trump on the financial market. While nothing is ever certain in the economy, the Trump stock market is definitely going to be very interesting.

Lance Jepsen from GuerillaStockTrading.com says: "I predict that Trump as President means down for the economy at first, then upward as the US consumer strengthens from domestic job growth. The down first move in the economy will be caused by inefficiencies as a result of forcing multinational corporations to bring domestic production facilities back to the US or face steep tariffs."

Various traders have contacted GuerillaStockTrading.com, asking what stocks are good to short or go long under a Trump Administration. To answer this question, Jepsen has looked at the various things that are likely to have a negative impact on the US economy. According to Jepsen, these include the Internet of Things, the payments industry, the technology industry, and e-commerce. Trump has promised to return American jobs to American people, but this would mean that many jobs that have now been fully automated will have to become human again. This, according to Jepsen, is precisely what will cause a downward effect at first.

Jepsen adds: "Industrial IoT trends have been towards automation and replacing human workers with machines and robots. Trump has promised to renegotiate trade deals to bring manufacturing jobs back to the US. If IoT trends are taking away US jobs, it's a pretty good bet that a Trump administration will advocate against industrial machines and robots that replace human labor."

Overall, however, Jepsen believes that the economy will recover from an initial slump. This is also due to the fact that Trump has promised tax breaks and less regulations for multinational companies, which will soften the blow. The economy, therefore, is likely to go through a period of turmoil as it adjusts, but it will recover after a while.